Plan a baseline and defensible sample

A baseline and sampling plan whose timing, frame, selection and precision claims are supported by actual inputs.

Bring these inputs

Input types: Indicators; Sampling frame; Baseline report. Use source documents and evidence you are authorized to share. A missing input is a question or a stop, never permission to invent facts.

Minimum inputs

  • Approved indicators, target population and measurement purpose
  • Timing, available sampling frame and practical constraints

Useful if available

  • Precision requirements, design-effect evidence, response assumptions and strata
  • Existing baseline report or secondary-data sources

Decisions you must make

  • Confirm estimand, population and timing.
  • Resolve unsupported precision and response assumptions before final sample requirements.

Start in Claude or ChatGPT

Choose how to work, inspect the instructions, then copy them to your own assistant. These controls stay in page memory and reset when you leave. This page does not accept or save your documents, run AI or send these choices.

Task instructions are available in English and Spanish. Each source method keeps its declared language and provenance; methods without an accepted Spanish edition are labeled English and supplied unchanged.

30,993 characters

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Paste the starter first. It includes intake, the ordered task plan and the exact method for your selected branch, or the default method for your working mode. It asks for the required inputs and decisions before proceeding. Copy each later stage when its required artifacts are ready. Keep the artifacts in your own files; a new chat cannot recover them from this page.

Your chosen assistant processes anything you provide under its own account settings, policies, capabilities and limits. Follow your organization's rules and remove names or sensitive details before sharing material. Check its actual file-reading and output abilities; account access or a copied method does not prove a successful run.

See Claude setup and limits

Work through the stages

Each stage names the artifact that the next stage needs. Keep its source references, assumptions, unresolved issues and version label together. Do not continue past a substantive stop or silently treat a draft as accepted.

Stage · baseline-planning

Define the baseline approach

Define indicator coverage, measurement timing, instrument and analysis requirements.

Bring to this stage

  • source-map
  • input-material

Keep this artifact

  • baseline-plan

Check before moving on

  • A late measurement is not automatically a pre-intervention baseline.

If inputs are missing or conflict: List blocking gaps and consequences. Complete only supported parts, label provisional work and do not invent evidence. For unsuitable input explain the fit problem and offer a supported route.

Your decision is required. Resolve conflicting governing sources and consequential assumptions before treating them as agreed.

Methods used: skill: baseline-planning; prompt: design-baseline-study. Full source text, revision and digest are included in the copied instructions.

30,993 characters

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Stage · sampling-plan

Draft the sampling plan

Specify frame coverage, units, selection, nonresponse and subgroup feasibility using supplied parameters. This is a planning aid, not a sample-size engine.

Bring to this stage

  • source-map
  • input-material
  • baseline-plan

Keep this artifact

  • sampling-plan

Check before moving on

  • Show the origin of precision, response and design-effect assumptions.
  • Do not invent a sample size or claim representativeness from an unsuitable frame.

If inputs are missing or conflict: List blocking gaps and consequences. Complete only supported parts, label provisional work and do not invent evidence. For unsuitable input explain the fit problem and offer a supported route.

Your decision is required. Resolve conflicting governing sources and consequential assumptions before treating them as agreed.

Methods used: skill: sampling-plan-draft; prompt: design-sampling-plan. Full source text, revision and digest are included in the copied instructions.

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Stage · sampling-review

Check justification and frame

Apply the source checks to the proposed plan and actual frame evidence.

Bring to this stage

  • source-map
  • input-material
  • baseline-plan
  • sampling-plan

Also bring if that branch was selected

  • secondary-data-suitability
  • late-baseline-options
  • baseline-report-review

Record unselected branches as not applicable.

Keep this artifact

  • review-issues

Check before moving on

  • Check selection, coverage gaps, disaggregation and practical execution.

If inputs are missing or conflict: List blocking gaps and consequences. Complete only supported parts, label provisional work and do not invent evidence. For unsuitable input explain the fit problem and offer a supported route.

Your decision is required. Resolve conflicting governing sources and consequential assumptions before treating them as agreed.

Methods used: prompt: review-sample-justification; prompt: review-sampling-frame; skill: sampling-plan-review. Full source text, revision and digest are included in the copied instructions.

33,891 characters

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Use a branch only when it fits

Optional branch · secondary-data

Assess secondary-data reuse

Use when: A candidate secondary dataset is available.

Check definitions, timing, population, access and provenance before recommending reuse.

Bring to this stage

  • source-map
  • input-material

Keep this artifact

  • secondary-data-suitability

Check before moving on

  • Availability alone does not establish a suitable baseline.

If inputs are missing or conflict: List blocking gaps and consequences. Complete only supported parts, label provisional work and do not invent evidence. For unsuitable input explain the fit problem and offer a supported route.

Your decision is required. Resolve conflicting governing sources and consequential assumptions before treating them as agreed.

Methods used: prompt: assess-secondary-data-reuse. Full source text, revision and digest are included in the copied instructions.

18,154 characters

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Optional branch · late-baseline

Assess a late baseline

Use when: The intervention started or the planned baseline was missed.

State what can and cannot be recovered after intervention exposure.

Bring to this stage

  • source-map
  • input-material

Keep this artifact

  • late-baseline-options

Check before moving on

  • Do not invent pre-intervention values or retrospective certainty.

If inputs are missing or conflict: List blocking gaps and consequences. Complete only supported parts, label provisional work and do not invent evidence. For unsuitable input explain the fit problem and offer a supported route.

Your decision is required. Resolve conflicting governing sources and consequential assumptions before treating them as agreed.

Methods used: prompt: assess-late-baseline-options. Full source text, revision and digest are included in the copied instructions.

18,012 characters

Inspect exact instructions: Copy Assess a late baseline Instructions

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Optional branch · existing-baseline

Review an existing baseline report

Use when: An existing report is the input.

Review the actual report rather than treating a new plan as completed measurement.

Bring to this stage

  • source-map
  • input-material

Keep this artifact

  • baseline-report-review

Check before moving on

  • Verify coverage, sampling, definitions, disaggregation and target support.

If inputs are missing or conflict: List blocking gaps and consequences. Complete only supported parts, label provisional work and do not invent evidence. For unsuitable input explain the fit problem and offer a supported route.

Your decision is required. Resolve conflicting governing sources and consequential assumptions before treating them as agreed.

Methods used: skill: baseline-report-review. Full source text, revision and digest are included in the copied instructions.

27,810 characters

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Revise or resume without losing decisions

Revise after the task review

Each review issue needs a stable ID, artifact/location, source or method basis, consequence and actionable correction. Record accept, reject or amend with a reason and decision/source ID. Preserve the original v1, create v2 and retain unresolved issues. Proposed changes are not accepted decisions. Rerun the affected source-method checks and cross-artifact checks; preserve both changed and unchanged commitments.

Use this combined copy after the task review. To revise an earlier artifact, choose Revise with decisions and copy its own stage instructions above. Bring the original, applicable review and issue dispositions. Later artifacts that do not exist remain unperformed.

Bring back

  • source-map
  • named-draft-to-revise
  • corresponding-issue-register
  • issue-dispositions

Already-produced context, when available

  • baseline-plan
  • sampling-plan
  • secondary-data-suitability
  • late-baseline-options
  • baseline-report-review

Bring only context that was actually produced and branch artifacts from selected branches. Retain their names and versions during revision.

Version names for supplied revision targets

These are naming choices, not a requirement to create every artifact. Revise only the named draft you supplied.

  • baseline-plan to baseline-plan-v2
  • sampling-plan to sampling-plan-v2
  • review-issues to review-issues-v2
  • secondary-data-suitability to secondary-data-suitability-v2
  • late-baseline-options to late-baseline-options-v2
  • baseline-report-review to baseline-report-review-v2

Preserve

  • Original supplied sources and every original named draft
  • Stable question, indicator, finding and issue IDs

Produce

  • versioned-selected-drafts
  • change-record
  • unresolved-decisions
40,190 characters

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Continue in a new chat

Bring the latest named artifact, source inputs, issue list, decision dispositions and the method text for the next stage. State what passed, failed or remains unperformed. The assistant must inspect those materials and confirm the next step before continuing.

2,165 characters

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Finish with a usable output

  • Return usable named deliverables, source/decision notes, limitations, unresolved issues and the change record. Check repeated IDs, definitions, periods, denominators, citations and arithmetic across artifacts. A documented unsuitable-input decision or an unexecuted specification can be the honest usable outcome.
  • Distinguish unperformed, blocked, proposed and checked work. Never claim fieldwork, computation, pilot completion, approval, causal identification, file generation or host capability without actual evidence.
  • Use the review and dispositions to produce the final revised set. Retain unresolved decisions and proposed commitments visibly.

Keep the source inputs, named artifacts, checks, decisions and final version together. A draft, an accepted decision, a checked calculation and a created file are separate facts. Mark any unperformed check clearly.

A fictional transition

Fictional case: a frame excludes remote villages and subgroup precision is unspecified. Return frame risks and decision options before any final sample total.

This small illustration is fictional. It is not an observed assistant result or real project evidence.

Source resources and optional assets

The task connects existing methods and keeps their criteria. Copied stage instructions contain the resolved method text and its source identity. Adaptations are labeled separately. Resources are in English unless a resource explicitly says otherwise. Earlier install packages may contain different bytes from the current portable methods. Source projection, installation, host checks and publication are separate facts.

Skill · English

Baseline Planning

Plan baseline measurement for every indicator, or check a baseline against the framework, without inventing starting values.

Source identity

Revision: 303703c442dfbadbcdcec78cb6244d6ca2e81032
Copied-text SHA-256: 0a0cfbcbd19c641ab764e7d72c8f12b48a1342f8c2c7ff7236c2356ca350a775
Source-file SHA-256: 928d5324a4b72aa9668521bc35a5cddf9f8577d3b4781001ff701822942c4910
Text transform: UTF-8 text with CRLF or CR line endings normalized to LF; served asset retains source bytes.

Prompt · English

Design a Baseline Study

Plan a baseline study with clear measures, feasible fieldwork and a defensible basis for later comparison.

Source identity

Revision: 6.1/2026-03-26T00:00:00.000000
Copied-text SHA-256: dd9394efad2534e12b672aca54278bbd71dcd123931cce82fcb86ccd9608fc09

1,485 characters

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Skill · English

Sampling Plan Draft

Draft a sampling plan with visible calculations, or check the sizing and selection of an existing one.

Source identity

Revision: 303703c442dfbadbcdcec78cb6244d6ca2e81032
Copied-text SHA-256: b21f021f97d471c8d49520b83dcf6a0f480519a5cbd10974ef0174a006c5950c
Source-file SHA-256: dc5ae7a364691bc6ee68aa78a63146bf97ed06b256dba539e2c8e7f237aeaf30
Text transform: UTF-8 text with CRLF or CR line endings normalized to LF; served asset retains source bytes.

Prompt · English

Design a Sampling Plan

Design a sampling plan with defensible selection, size or qualitative scope, field procedures and inference limits.

Source identity

Revision: 6.1/2026-03-26T00:00:00.000000
Copied-text SHA-256: c69d876b7c74559a9c3204c65af7b398f2c2f93f198a9e5717a93afe1a289f56

3,321 characters

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Prompt · English

Review a Sample Justification

Review whether the sample rationale supports the actual quantitative or qualitative analyses and is feasible in practice.

Source identity

Revision: 6.1/2026-03-26T00:00:00.000000
Copied-text SHA-256: 501c38a465f1adb7962c4f71c6f11959d38a0d27687531e4329175815bbc2f48

1,651 characters

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Prompt · English

Review a Sampling Frame

Review a sampling frame’s source, coverage, currency and cleaning before selection, separately from sample-size justification.

Source identity

Revision: 6.1/2026-03-26T00:00:00.000000
Copied-text SHA-256: f5507e764b7c1dfc51690de647984bd5144b18b97ec3fdced8a3f7393ff64ac5

1,553 characters

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Skill · English

Sampling Plan Review

Review the sampling approach, assumptions, frame and calculations.

Source identity

Revision: 303703c442dfbadbcdcec78cb6244d6ca2e81032
Copied-text SHA-256: 568a00e23773523d45949490335be2b5ced8b944ffc7d052ebee236409b5220a
Source-file SHA-256: 568a00e23773523d45949490335be2b5ced8b944ffc7d052ebee236409b5220a
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Prompt · English

Assess Secondary Data for a New M&E Question

Check whether an existing dataset can support a new question, with claim-specific fit, provenance, coverage and use conditions.

Source identity

Revision: 6.1/2026-03-26T00:00:00.000000
Copied-text SHA-256: 098f7817365d74701249427e94d3f61496c9a0b2ca6866815f4b71d6da1c7149

3,311 characters

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Prompt · English

Assess Baseline Options After Implementation Starts

Assess historical, retrospective and prospective measurement options when preintervention data were not collected.

Source identity

Revision: 6.1/2026-03-26T00:00:00.000000
Copied-text SHA-256: ff63106403ab6ff340a185a47d938e3ba9647ce3730ac2ac663b09bb3f44563b

3,184 characters

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Skill · English

Baseline Report Review

Review baseline evidence, indicator coverage and the basis for later comparison.

Source identity

Revision: 303703c442dfbadbcdcec78cb6244d6ca2e81032
Copied-text SHA-256: 004252836767e1071dc6fbdef0257cc7075aca7ca63eedd04dec3a1969fd53db
Source-file SHA-256: 004252836767e1071dc6fbdef0257cc7075aca7ca63eedd04dec3a1969fd53db
Text transform: UTF-8 text with CRLF or CR line endings normalized to LF; served asset retains source bytes.

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